Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.232099 0.256420 0.281391 0.308894 0.338281 0.368688 0.402474
2024-12-22 0.200560 0.234184 0.270032 0.310920 0.356086 0.404279 0.459412
2024-12-29 0.180904 0.221527 0.266241 0.318737 0.378300 0.443416 0.519606
2025-01-05 0.161767 0.207150 0.258604 0.320616 0.392672 0.473129 0.569105
2025-01-12 0.145359 0.194183 0.251090 0.321339 0.404734 0.499606 0.614699
2025-01-19 0.130400 0.181498 0.242656 0.319876 0.413378 0.521575 0.654832
2025-01-26 0.119825 0.173205 0.238655 0.322979 0.426879 0.548901 0.701149
2025-02-02 0.113063 0.169081 0.239259 0.331288 0.446401 0.583311 0.756023
2025-02-09 0.103935 0.161106 0.234355 0.332174 0.456417 0.606071 0.796937
2025-02-16 0.098195 0.157161 0.234225 0.338783 0.473345 0.637192 0.848101
2025-02-23 0.093632 0.154437 0.235386 0.346828 0.491977 0.670449 0.902090
2025-03-02 0.085970 0.146796 0.229499 0.345238 0.498005 0.687875 0.936552
2025-03-09 0.079855 0.141110 0.226135 0.347023 0.508633 0.711549 0.979586
2025-03-16 0.073247 0.134209 0.220678 0.345645 0.514893 0.729600 1.015646
2025-03-23 0.069620 0.131527 0.220937 0.351911 0.531185 0.760517 1.068156
2025-03-30 0.064645 0.126388 0.217369 0.352631 0.539919 0.781667 1.108360
2025-04-06 0.059888 0.121234 0.213473 0.352629 0.547502 0.801252 1.146620
2025-04-13 0.054993 0.115478 0.208355 0.350602 0.552111 0.816831 1.179719
2025-04-20 0.051775 0.112269 0.206868 0.353638 0.563596 0.841480 1.224705
2025-04-27 0.050155 0.111662 0.209287 0.362336 0.582992 0.876771 1.283845
2025-05-04 0.046826 0.107825 0.206481 0.363179 0.591302 0.897252 1.323675
2025-05-11 0.045086 0.106689 0.207836 0.370163 0.608295 0.929504 1.379236
2025-05-18 0.043779 0.106242 0.210232 0.378699 0.627552 0.964957 1.439294